MI
MARIMED INC. (MRMD)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue was $37.955M, essentially flat year over year, with diluted EPS at $(0.01) and GAAP net loss of $(5.420)M as wholesale strength offset retail softness and ramp costs in Illinois and Missouri .
- Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA declined to $2.564M (6.8% margin) versus $4.661M (12.3%) a year ago, driven by price compression and ramp costs; non-GAAP gross margin was 41.3% vs. 43.8% last year .
- Management guided Q2 2025 revenue to increase high single digits sequentially on full-quarter Delaware (FSCC) consolidation and continued wholesale door adds, while retail remains soft .
- Strategic highlights: wholesale mix reached 44% of sales as brands entered 70 new storefronts; Betty’s Eddies remained #1 edible in MA/MD/DE and rose to #5 in IL; Nature’s Heritage flower launched in IL post-quarter; “MycroDose by Nature’s Heritage” launched in MA in May .
- S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates for MRMD Q1 2025 were unavailable, so beats/misses versus Street cannot be determined (values unavailable via S&P Global).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Wholesale momentum: wholesale sales increased year over year and sequentially; wholesale mix reached 44% of revenue, supported by entry into 70 new storefronts and stronger brand penetration .
- Brand performance: Betty’s Eddies remained top edible in MA, MD, DE; climbed to #5 in IL; Vibations #6 beverages and Bubby’s #2 baked in IL; strong penetration in MA (products in 71% of ~400 dispensaries) .
- Strategic expansion: acquisition of First State Compassion Center closed Feb 28, consolidating DE vertically; Nature’s Heritage flower distribution commenced in IL on Apr 1; functional mushroom “MycroDose” launched in MA .
Management quote: “Wholesale sales now account for 44 percent of our revenue mix… we anticipate [this] will continue as we further leverage our brands as the primary growth engine” — Jon Levine, CEO .
What Went Wrong
- Margin compression: non-GAAP gross margin fell to 41.3% from 43.8% YoY and 43.3% in Q4, due to price compression and ramp costs in IL cultivation and MO processing .
- Retail softness: overall retail revenue declined 7% YoY amid pricing pressures, new competition in IL, and weaker consumer demand .
- One-time bad debt expense: operating expenses rose to $15.989M, including a write-off of a non-trade receivable (vendor-related), which management characterized as one-time .
Financial Results
Segment/Channel Revenue Breakdown
KPIs
Notes: Wholesale share of product revenue for Q1 2025 explicitly cited by management at 44% ; Q4/Q3 shares computed from product revenue components .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Wholesale sales now account for 44 percent of our revenue mix… an upward trend that we anticipate will continue as we further leverage our brands” — Jon Levine, CEO .
- “Revenue… flat year-on-year… decreased sequentially 2.7%… wholesale gross revenue increased 16% y/y and 4% q/q… retail revenue down 7% y/y… adjusted gross margin 41.3%” — Mario Pinho, CFO .
- “In Illinois, we sold our products into more than 180 stores… Betty’s is now #5… Vibations #6 beverages… Bubby’s #2 baked goods… in Massachusetts, products in 71% of nearly 400 dispensaries” — Ryan Crandall, CCO .
- “We anticipate an increase in second quarter revenue… high single-digits compared to Q1… driven by full quarter of FSC revenues… continued wholesale door adds… continued softness in retail” — Mario Pinho, CFO .
- “Delaware… timing… 60 to 120 days before we see the first rec store open” — Jon Levine, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Q2 revenue guidance clarified as high single-digit sequential growth; drivers include full-quarter DE (FSCC) consolidation and promotional activity; retail expected to remain soft .
- Bad debt expense was a one-time vendor-related receivable reserve, not trade receivables; company is pursuing recovery .
- Delaware adult-use timing: potential 60–120 days; relationships with all current and future stores established to position wholesale .
- Missouri challenges center on entrenched local reciprocity; brand-led penetration strategy expanding storefront count monthly .
- Marketing spend shift toward localized initiatives; reduced programmatic marketing vs. prior year .
- Ohio: active site search amid regulatory and financing constraints; aim to secure a location before year-end .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus (EPS, revenue, EBITDA, targets) for MRMD Q1 2025 was unavailable at the time of this analysis, so comparison to Street and beat/miss assessment cannot be made (values unavailable via S&P Global).
- Investors should treat management’s Q2 guide (high single-digit q/q) as the near-term baseline until Street coverage deepens .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term margin pressure reflects planned wholesale-led strategy and ramp costs; non-GAAP GM down to 41.3% while adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 6.8% — monitor mix, pricing, and ramp trajectory in IL/MO .
- Wholesale brand strength remains the core growth engine: 44% mix, 70 new storefronts, strong category ranks in IL, and broad penetration in MA/MD — supports sustained door adds and velocity .
- Delaware adult-use is a potential H2 2025 catalyst: FSCC integration complete; wholesale relationships pre-positioned; timing 60–120 days from Q1 call .
- Innovation pipeline is active: IL launch of Nature’s Heritage flower and MA launch of Microdose functional mushroom pill underpin product-led growth and brand extension opportunities .
- Retail softness persists amid competitive/pricing pressure and macro uncertainty; mitigation via pricing, loyalty, labor optimization; watch for regulatory tailwinds (MD events, MA delivery cost rules) .
- Q2 guide implies sequential revenue acceleration; execution on DE and wholesale growth will be key to re-rating the narrative in absence of Street estimates .
- Balance sheet steady with $7.201M cash and operating cash flow of $1.293M in Q1; disciplined cost management and SKU rationalization remain priorities .